Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-20 964.311061 1095.674979 1243.336873 1422.580342 1635.564410 1882.153052 2191.580094
2025-04-27 769.755648 940.808315 1151.981736 1435.805314 1813.435504 2307.607052 3018.642422
2025-05-04 670.678264 857.271199 1101.519589 1452.129506 1955.347128 2672.606543 3813.335257
2025-05-11 598.482541 792.435312 1058.434304 1461.325601 2077.481353 3022.980846 4668.020485
2025-05-18 556.384997 760.061695 1051.298841 1514.591274 2266.457191 3505.025980 5861.600596
2025-05-25 517.916890 726.584214 1035.855255 1549.424054 2428.333701 3973.585321 7174.317695
2025-06-01 480.284717 689.177910 1008.434648 1558.753794 2545.921090 4387.073255 8516.449802
2025-06-08 446.201929 653.064368 977.896682 1556.847318 2640.794344 4776.523175 9945.901276
2025-06-15 423.821621 632.661633 969.632843 1590.968360 2806.890457 5345.568617 12021.720292
2025-06-22 388.858429 588.597788 917.156063 1537.921974 2792.474965 5526.810456 13187.177640
2025-06-29 359.340067 550.928398 871.749589 1491.849866 2783.768771 5718.114931 14466.555802
2025-07-06 332.007522 514.734497 825.528391 1438.429660 2750.464989 5843.829284 15613.266896
2025-07-13 322.175488 508.116497 832.078450 1491.242283 2964.032041 6651.032004 19459.754047
2025-07-20 307.905022 492.701151 821.333047 1508.253553 3101.593325 7309.811097 23276.260594
2025-07-27 295.017301 478.566894 811.373257 1525.167904 3242.017371 8023.008029 27873.926110
2025-08-03 282.427749 463.928999 798.968120 1535.018646 3367.142357 8736.119413 33124.285017
2025-08-10 276.132184 460.251824 807.310668 1591.689915 3625.887660 9970.506418 42275.552495
2025-08-17 268.104646 452.669982 807.096899 1628.775694 3840.862137 11152.845129 52752.058191
2025-08-24 257.954100 440.287488 795.980031 1638.710515 3982.032176 12135.262144 63498.896173
2025-08-31 247.454825 426.491741 780.724882 1636.680302 4088.336452 13036.457493 75260.031720
2025-09-07 241.115102 420.351534 780.959449 1673.022688 4321.159745 14572.969961 95507.159883
2025-09-14 227.360124 398.672285 746.272282 1616.528461 4248.034957 14755.110876 103631.201517
2025-09-21 215.195437 379.502967 715.697979 1567.487491 4191.135308 14999.525088 113218.693327